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Oliver's Insights - Plunging bond yields & weak share markets amidst talk of recession – what does it mean for investors?

Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist.

The attached note looks at the volatility seen in share markets and bond yields over the last few weeks. The key points are as follows:

  • Worries about the US trade wars and global growth are continuing to cause volatility in investment markets.
  • While the risks have increased, we remain of the view that recession is unlikely.
  • Share markets may still fall further on trade war fears and this may even be necessary to remind both sides of the need for a deal.
  • However, we regard the fall in share markets as another correction and not the start of a major bear market.

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